Comment: Julian Nagelsmann for € 30 million for Bayern Munich? In fact, it’s cheap

Will Julian Nagelsmann be the new coach of Bayern Munich? For a change, RB Leipzig should demand a record coach transfer fee of 25 to 30 million euros. If FC Bayern is convinced that Nagelsmann is the right coach for this team in the long term, this amount is even relatively small. A comment.

In the summer of 2015, FC Bayern Munich last invested exactly 30 million euros in a transfer fee for a new employee in the sports department, namely for the left winger Douglas Costa from Brazil. Franck Ribery and Arjen Robben were seeded on the wings at the time, so Costa came as a potential substitute.

Unsurprisingly, he did not establish himself sustainably in Munich, which is why he first switched to Juventus Turin on loan and then permanently. When FC Bayern was looking in panic for players for the squad width last October, they brought Costa back on loan. Since then he has often sat on the bench and has been injured even more often. In both his first and his second term in office, FC Bayern would have got along very well without Costa.

And with that to Julian Nagelsmann, whom the club would like to sign as the successor to coach Hansi Flick, who is willing to leave. Nagelsmann himself is said to have already informed his current employer, RB Leipzig, that he wanted to change, but will probably only get approval for a transfer fee of 25 to 30 million euros. No coach in the world has changed clubs for a similar amount. But why actually?

Anyone who spends such sums on potential substitutes can do the same for coaches. If FC Bayern is convinced that Nagelsmann is the right coach for this team in the long term – for which there are good reasons – 25 to 30 million euros are actually relatively cheap.

FC Bayern: For Flick, the transfer fee would have been worth it

The last time FC Bayern learned what direct effects a meaningful change of coach can have when Flick was promoted to head coach in autumn 2019. “You can’t try to drive 200 km / h on the autobahn if you can only manage 100,” said his predecessor Niko Kovac shortly before saying goodbye to his former players. Flick proved the opposite: he gave the team a previously missing clearly recognizable game idea and won all available titles with enthusiastic football for the rest of the season.

This run of success, which was not foreseeable under Kovac, not only filled the trophy cabinet on Säbener Strasse quite unexpectedly, but also the fixed-term deposit account. FC Bayern brought in prize money and, above all, thanks to the Champions League victory, also made considerable TV revenues and thus surely won one or the other fan who certainly bought one or the other jersey.

Back then, FC Bayern was fortunate that the successful Flick was already employed as an assistant coach and did not have to be poached. But if the club had paid the 25 to 30 million for Flick, now called up for Nagelsmann, this investment would definitely have been worth it in retrospect.

The trainer is the most important member of the sporting department of any professional club. It is he who has to form the players into a team and give them a working idea for the game. If he doesn’t manage that, the often dearly bought players lose their value. The current development, according to which clubs are increasingly investing money in coaching commitments, is therefore only logical.

With a Nagelsmann transfer, FC Bayern would jump on this unstoppable trend with a new record transfer fee. Borussia Dortmund brought Marco Rose for five million euros from Borussia Mönchengladbach, where Eintracht Frankfurt’s Adi Hütter inherited him for 7.5 million euros. Should Nagelsmann actually switch to FC Bayern for 25 to 30 million euros, Jesse Marsch from RB Salzburg will apparently succeed him in Leipzig. How its possible transfer fee is negotiated is another topic.

Julian Nagelsmann: The previous stations of the RB trainer

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